With football season coming at us in full force, bookies around the world are eager to see their business pick up. There’s no question that the NFL enjoys part of it’s success due to the large number of people who bet on the game. Personally, I love to be on football so today we’re going to look at how to make winning football picks.
Now obviously the bookies and casinos do so well because the odds are in their favor. Bottom line is, most sports gamblers lose. However, not everyone does and it’s entirely possible to make money from sports betting if you take the right approach.
Betting on the NFL successfully does take a good amount of discipline because most people have the urge to bet on many games as opposed to just one or two. And to be frank, there’s not going to be value in that many games on a weekly basis.
However, the NFL is a sport that you can profit from if you have the discipline to only bet on games that present some value. Of course, you need to know how to find those games!
Let me share a couple of tips that can be useful.
First off, I find that home-field advantage in the NFL is HUGE. Teams love to play at home – who wouldn’t love to have 70,000 fans cheering at blaring levels for them!
The standard “rule” is to add 3 points to the betting line of the home team. so if you handicap the game, feel that the home team should be a 4 point favorite before taking home team advantage into consideration, the you would move the line from -4 to -7 as they are playing at home.
However, you can’t just assign the same value to home team advantage for each team! Some squads are better than others when it comes to playing at home. There are also teams that just don’t seem to respond as favorably to being at home than others. Identifying these teams can be extremely profitable.
Of course this is only one thing to look for. Keep an eye out as we’re going to be releasing many more articles with tips on winning NFL sports bets.
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